Dave’s Weather Outlook
Forty-two years later, I still wake up in a sweat every now and then because I dreamed I wasn’t ready for a Darrell Dowden chemistry exam at VCC. Then I realize I’m now the guy who gives science exams. My LSC Center For Advanced Aviation students just took their meteorology finals. Now, let’s give nature its mid-term for 2024 so far.
Precip has come back so well that we are now running a rain surplus rather than a drought. Temperature trends have varied from normal in the following amounts: January plus 5.9 degrees, February plus 11.9 degrees, March plus 3.4 degrees, April plus 2.1 degrees and May around plus 1.3 degrees. That averages to 2024 being 4.9 degrees warmer than normal. That is not in the bounds of normal climate variability. The prima facie culprit is El Nino but more advanced meteorologists than me are working to see if anthropogenic global warming had a hand in that.
The La Nina effect is taking over and that had a hand in dropping the level of “warmer than normalness” a few degrees every month for the last few months. There is a good chance then that June will come up dead normal for both temperature and precipitation.
June 1 to 10 could be rainy and stormy while warming up, the 11th to 19th will have a cool and showery period, the 20th to 26th looks warm and rainy, the 27th to 30th should be sunny and cool.
Who am I trying to kid? All of Mr. Dowden’s exams were tough prepared or not. I only passed because I used some scientific method tricks learned from Larry Mischke in 10th grade biology. Now, I’d like to thank Mr. Mischke and the crew of Grace Lutheran Church for putting on a meaningful double funeral for my parents. Big thanks as well to the folks of Zup’s who provided the great quality food they’ve been putting out for a hundred years. And thank you to the family, friends and neighbors of Ely and Babbitt who stopped by or sent a note.